A hybrid case-based model for forecasting

Abstract

An investigation is described into the application of artificial intelligence to forecasting in the domain of oceanography. A hybrid approach to forecasting the thermal structure of the water ahead of a moving vessel is presented which combines the ability of a case-based reasoning system for identifying previously encountered similar situations and the generalizing ability of an artificial neural network to guide the adaptation stage of the case-based reasoning mechanism. The system has been successfully tested in real time in the Atlantic Ocean; the results obtained are presented and compared with those derived from other forecasting methods.